But you may have not heard about the Maes-Garreau law:
it states people tend to make predictions within their reach, ie. within their lifetime.
So, happyness will arrive when we are celebrating our 70th birthday. :)
So, it will affect us, and we have enough time till then to imagine a lot of sci-fi technologies to become available. Win-win situation: Kurzweil's prediction will become true (good for him), and we'll reach singularity (good for everyone).
But why isn't Kurzweil commenting on Maes-Garreau?
In this case it is clear, that he went all-in with his prediction.
Self-fulfilling prophecies are better left untouched.
If he really wants this [the Singularity] happen, he better shows the world that he is really convinced. If he is all-in, he should not have a B-plan. He should invest all his money in R&D field.
Hope for singularity is a blitzkrieg against eternity.
He has no time to care about such a ridiculous observation as Maes-Garreau...
And if he were to comment it, he would show that he has doubts.
Anyway, the whole concept of singularity is fiction.
Future will not arrive at a given point in time, but slowly suffusing our lives.
And it is not technology, that will create our future, but us.. Yes, this is the bad news: if you want something out of it, you have to make it.
Hear my final words: I don't believe in singularity, at least it won't arrive before 2052.. ;)
